Understanding Tariffs and Their Impact on Economic Growth

Person using calculator with tariff icons overlay.

Just think about this….

Tariffs

There had been a terrific amount of discussion, noise and political blather over a simple concept. Tariffs have been around forever – even our Federal Government, prior to the implementation of the personal income tax, existed on tariff income. Yes, tariff costs can be considered a tax. The facts are all taxes on business and their employees, all fines and settlements paid by business, and all the legal and regulatory costs are just a “cost of doing business.” It is included in the cost of everything you purchase.

In the “Key Items Necessary to Measure Economic Growth” section of this website, we discuss GDP, GDP per capita, and the formula used when Calculating both. A quick review – the formula is (GDP=C+I+G+(X-M). C=Consumption, I=Business investment, G=Government Spending, X=Exports, and I=Imports. If Imports exceed Exports the result is a negative number. That results in a lowering of GDP and a lowering of GDP Per Capita (per Person). Lower numbers indicate a lower Standard of Living – that affects everyone.

The chart below shows the US has experienced a trade deficit for many years while China has enjoyed many years of trade surpluses. Please do not confuse the info as this is both countries’ overall trade position and not just the trade between the two. The press, etc. comments regularly how China is generally growing at a faster pace than the US and most other countries. They report or imply that China must be cheating. They might be – but there is no doubt that China’s is a major exporter of goods to the world and a very minor importer of other countries’ goods or to put it bluntly – China as a nation sells more than they buy while the US buys more than it sells. Buying more than you earn is not good, earning more than you buy is good.

United States Republic of China
Year Trade Surplus/Deficit Trade Surplus/Deficit
1990-$77,855,000,000$10,668,000,000
1991-$28,613,000,000$11,601,000,000
1992-$34,738,000,000$4,998,000,000
1993-$65,174,000,000($11,792,000,000)
1994-$92,487,000,000$7,356,999,994
1995-$89,762,000,000$11,958,000,002
1996-$96,377,000,000$17,550,000,006
1997-$101,971,000,000$42,823,220,006
1998-$162,711,000,000$43,836,689,484
1999-$259,550,000,000$30,640,955,359
2000-$381,073,000,000$28,785,851,586
2001-$376,747,000,000$28,086,220,290
2002-$439,745,000,000$37,382,671,264
2003-$521,995,000,000$35,821,129,071
2004-$634,141,000,000$51,174,382,542
2005-$739,902,000,000$124,626,797,523
2006-$786,453,000,000$208,918,924,509
2007-$735,933,000,000$308,036,028,780
2008-$740,871,000,000$348,832,533,145
2009-$419,153,000,000$220,130,401,369
2010-$532,308,000,000$222,400,893,687
2011-$579,616,000,000$180,895,321,770
2012-$551,617,000,000$231,864,021,797
2013-$478,453,000,000$234,872,118,182
2014-$508,900,000,000$221,549,605,872
2015-$524,320,000,000$358,836,357,206
2016-$503,272,000,000$255,484,319,295
2017-$543,329,000,000$215,697,133,466
2018-$593,077,000,000$91,487,265,093
2019-$577,290,000,000$132,787,798,755
2020-$626,202,000,000$355,147,112,386
2021-$860,029,000,000$460,829,383,708
2022-$958,935,000,000$577,846,955,111
2023-$797,342,000,000$386,035,269,476
Total -$15,419,941,000,000 $5,487,169,360,734